Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 14.357208 16.703506 19.256301 22.232797 25.600390 29.284535 33.612030
2025-08-10 10.043238 13.151071 16.878695 21.643893 27.534706 34.536823 43.443995
2025-08-17 7.537069 10.862257 15.173382 21.093779 28.922165 38.818394 52.157772
2025-08-24 5.856012 9.174162 13.773678 20.482804 29.860893 42.323057 59.915726
2025-08-31 4.557068 7.714659 12.368606 19.536428 30.061367 44.670495 66.131682
2025-09-07 3.921832 7.097338 12.028649 19.977710 32.134210 49.618260 76.140624
2025-09-14 3.407794 6.565807 11.713963 20.366639 34.095486 54.479217 86.293416
2025-09-21 2.854131 5.860271 11.006040 20.020836 34.850092 57.557982 93.984022
2025-09-28 2.370956 5.186170 10.242436 19.464706 35.170684 59.937793 100.707140
2025-10-05 2.256253 5.180004 10.626103 20.864085 38.754560 67.582763 115.941854
2025-10-12 2.111616 5.087616 10.834542 21.962668 41.901223 74.706596 130.743450
2025-10-19 1.889433 4.795219 10.626949 22.278676 43.710599 79.747438 142.470232
2025-10-26 1.635499 4.410469 10.233438 22.292340 45.143156 84.516326 154.498965
2025-11-02 1.368500 3.945162 9.620634 21.836036 45.728199 87.971186 164.724161
2025-11-09 1.139738 3.516380 9.012805 21.304517 46.105865 91.072126 174.530332
2025-11-16 0.944132 3.121111 8.408789 20.692111 46.246625 93.727573 183.688399
2025-11-23 0.761342 2.709567 7.693030 19.737973 45.600269 94.872831 190.204661
2025-11-30 0.684321 2.579019 7.622015 20.183309 47.802200 101.415160 206.770032
2025-12-07 0.614083 2.450510 7.534235 20.575723 49.919333 107.918404 223.607523
2025-12-14 0.520933 2.222292 7.150678 20.226843 50.427668 111.347693 234.913988
2025-12-21 0.434092 1.987312 6.705020 19.665745 50.412279 113.729731 244.352113
2025-12-28 0.426104 2.031559 7.041341 21.077592 54.878926 125.294497 271.931644
2026-01-04 0.407430 2.031230 7.249783 22.185885 58.741031 135.842583 298.027027